Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.079823 0.092247 0.105961 0.122222 0.140982 0.161949 0.187171
2026-01-04 0.061079 0.077980 0.098548 0.125424 0.159637 0.201771 0.257666
2026-01-11 0.050796 0.069542 0.093968 0.128135 0.174739 0.236168 0.323457
2026-01-18 0.043306 0.062758 0.089555 0.129178 0.186352 0.266007 0.385716
2026-01-25 0.036991 0.056314 0.084243 0.127574 0.193220 0.289170 0.440539
2026-02-01 0.031443 0.050022 0.078057 0.123462 0.195314 0.304935 0.485543
2026-02-08 0.028388 0.047015 0.076249 0.125491 0.206578 0.335228 0.555766
2026-02-15 0.025548 0.043916 0.073809 0.126029 0.215244 0.362013 0.623029
2026-02-22 0.023362 0.041579 0.072253 0.127688 0.225717 0.392543 0.699602
2026-03-01 0.020782 0.038220 0.068538 0.125113 0.228459 0.410040 0.755263
2026-03-08 0.018661 0.035403 0.065409 0.123131 0.231869 0.428802 0.814905
2026-03-15 0.017265 0.033742 0.064139 0.124336 0.241117 0.458818 0.898349
2026-03-22 0.016538 0.033292 0.065105 0.129955 0.259505 0.508069 1.024822
2026-03-29 0.015594 0.032308 0.064949 0.133386 0.274058 0.551632 1.145373
2026-04-05 0.014683 0.031273 0.064560 0.136270 0.287765 0.594867 1.270030
2026-04-12 0.013682 0.029930 0.063390 0.137379 0.297880 0.631810 1.385629
2026-04-19 0.012522 0.028109 0.061025 0.135673 0.301797 0.656219 1.477018
2026-04-26 0.011258 0.025911 0.057616 0.131300 0.299388 0.666834 1.539135
2026-05-03 0.010652 0.025119 0.057173 0.133458 0.311719 0.710731 1.681058
2026-05-10 0.009979 0.024093 0.056093 0.134030 0.320459 0.747458 1.810435
2026-05-17 0.009449 0.023343 0.055556 0.135795 0.332146 0.792036 1.963261
2026-05-24 0.008668 0.021897 0.053245 0.133056 0.332736 0.810716 2.055319
2026-05-31 0.007999 0.020653 0.051282 0.130948 0.334624 0.832646 2.157842